Monetary policy in 2015, the European Central Bank to stimulate economic activity - are expected confirmation after the meeting of 22.01

"The ECB's bond purchases will clearly have a positive effect. Monetary easing may have a positive impact on the economies that are related to the region where such a policy is applied," said Piroska Nagy, an economist at the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), reports Bloomberg.

Most East European states do not use the euro, but will benefit because the ECB measures encourage cross-border lending and stimulate economic growth in the monetary union, their main trading partner.

Central banks in Eastern Europe are already occupied cope with withdrawal effect of stimulus measures by the US Federal Reserve and shock decision of the Swiss National Bank to remove the ceiling rate of 1.2 francs / euro, which has increased the cost of credit in francs.
Poland and Hungary currencies have depreciated strongly last week, the two countries with the largest share of housing loans in Swiss francs. Zloty and forint depreciated earlier this year by 1.1% and 0.7%.

Eastern Europe yet suffered the impact of the economic slowdown in the eurozone, but the collapse of oil prices has increased pressure lowering prices. Currently, Poland and Hungary is in deflation, while in neighboring countries inflation is at record lows.

ECB incentives could allow East European states to maintain borrowing costs at record lows, and in some cases their continued decline, thereby supporting economic growth, said Neil Schearing, chief economist for emerging markets at Capital Economics, in London.
"Monetary policy in Central and Eastern Europe will remain more relaxed than would have been otherwise. Poland and Romania could further reduce interest rates, while the Czech Republic may adjust the threshold appreciation of the crown," said Schearing.

Additional liquidity from the ECB could encourage Western European banks that dominate nearly two-thirds of the banking industry in the East, the banks and Erste Group Bank and Societe Generale, reduce capital withdrawals in the region, said economist.

Draghi involve risks Initiative for Eastern Europe, as well as inflows of speculative bubbles and bond markets, the central bank governor warned last week of Poland, Marek Belka. Poland has maintained last week monetary policy rate at 2%.
ECB will assess the key interest rate at 0.05% monetary policy meeting on Thursday, which most analysts anticipate that the institution will announce the launch of a program to purchase government bonds worth 550 billion euros.

Another risk is that the bond purchase program of the ECB to confirm the extent not already taken into account by active investors in Eastern European markets, said Helena Horské, director of research at Raiffeisen Bank in Prague.
However, the pace of economic growth in Central Europe and the three Baltic states will remain solid 2.6% this year, according to estimates released Monday EBRD. In Southeast Europe, economic advance will be 2.2% in 2015.

An optimistic effects conclude we will undertake measures that 2015 is the European Central Bank Eastern Europe has reason to enjoy the purchases of bonds of the European Central Bank (ECB), which would contribute to economic growth and to avoid deflation, unlike of Switzerland, to where incentives will result in appreciation of the franc.

P.S. And so we try to achieve our goals we have each one.

Traders and speculators week 19-25/01/2015

Week January 19 to 25 in terms of European finance (and the European Union policy) is very delicate, because following the one in which it was decided to renounce the support threshold of 1.2 euro and the Swiss franc, the National Bank Swiss (weekend are early elections in Greece). There are very few of us little ones, who dream to give the stock market boom that can predict or estimate how scholarships will perform following measures already taken and which will be applied by the European Central Bank (NBS, ECB, NBR) and prefer to restrain myself from doing predictions of this week. A week with inspiration!

being updated

To develop a more real estimation regarding how the ring will be closed from Bucharest, do I need a documentary on Reuters and AFP - 5 or 7 hours.

Forecast for Monday stock market developments - Part II

News from Reuters optimistic the 2015 budget of the Government of Japan does not think it will alleviate European and Asian stock markets (on 12.01), an essential argument for continuing the decline started Friday quotation reducing support barrel again below $ 50 closing at 48.36 (-1.19%). If you look at the graphs on Friday, the FTSE has increased by 15.00 decrease in DAX and CAC40 after 15.30 (proportional to the evolution of the US market, which opened at 16.00). We hope that today will be more positive news like the Japanese budget to offset negative events in Paris Friday, but did not happen. The 2nd argument to decrease, as former Russian President Gorbachev statement published Saturday in the German press. There will be spectacular falls, between 0.4 and 0.8 percentage - A week with accumulations $$$

Estimate for 12.01 on the BSE, CAC40, DAX and FTSE

Following Friday's events in France, on Monday all decrease estimate, just as the stock market in Bucharest will be more pronounced on Friday there were large volumes traded just below my expectations, about 5.16 mil. Euro and closed after Bucharest, European markets has increased and decreased in the State closed down 171 points all. History repeats, meaning that the stock exchange in Romania lags far back to the US, France. England and Germany. Back in the second half of tomorrow to continue on this post (pietele europene).

evolution thursday of the BSE, FTSE, CAC40, DAX but NYSE after 15-16

Weather (low, average 1.5 - 2.5%) one day favorable for speculators who can afford to play with money, people like me to analyze and recommend only invest after the situation calms down in France and other negative news which can upset markets hopefully will not appear in the short term. Respect for those who have gone or are suffering from the events of Paris, stop me comments. RIP & HEALTH!

After declines will increase! but in the short term we need calm $$$ :)

Disorientation admit the existence of the financial market in Romania today (especially in the capital market) and negative news from foreign markets me I could not imagine, but at the same time, we hope alive, he would join a trend positive somewhere in February-March 2015, when most economic sectors will restart (mainly agriculture and construction) and will help change the downward trend of the moment, in one ascending to 2015. I looked on estimates of major players in the SIBEX futures contracts for March and June, and the apathy of a ring from Sibiu blame the effect of the winter holidays, which will end today. Wanting to complete a positive note this post is gratifying that yesterday in a holiday important to us, Orthodox Christians, to run a volume of shares expressed in approximately 6.8 million euro (BSE ), which is not bad for this time. P.S. I keep posting previous estimates for this week. A beautiful day, you have! (07.01.2015)

Today and tomorrow does not deserve to enter the ring at the Bucharest Stock Exchange, analyzed the SIBEX, former BMFMS Sibiu.

01/06/2015 Today and tomorrow will be interesting days at BSE, considering how dark last night on the NYSE (-331.34) and the European tone, such as 2% FTSE, CAC40 3.3% and the DAX by 3%, and as Asian markets taking place at 6.33 with decreases between 1-3%. Recommend to learn from the mistakes of others and not to be greedy and Friday or Monday but can invest in the short term, depending on what news will appear 07 and 08 at European level in Romania envisage a new benchmark discount rate NBR and my estimation ptr BSE today and tomorrow between 2 and 4% cumulative, but to be realistic, then overcast is clearing up, and after red is green. and not to get bored, DAYS OF INSPIRATION followed by achievements in accounts $$$!

Recommendation 2015 - Currency save what - why $$$ and not Euro

1. I believe that it will continue economic cycle began in 2014 the dollar will appreciate against the euro, for other currencies Top British pound and Swiss franc Can not say yet, wait movements that central banks in England Switzerland. FED and ECB have shown mostly intentions. Quotation EUR / USD 1.205 (-0.4) at the beginning of the year.

2. Status of the European economies is not good and no signs that revival would occur in a short period of time (England and Germany are ok, but France, Italy, Spain does not look good). The American economy is on an upward trend, but the gap between the two continents is quite high, the numbers say, especially Unemployment, GDP related.

3. Prices barrel in early 53.8 (+ 1%), is on a downward trend during 2014 about losing tens of percent.

4. Smoldering conflict between the two great powers USA and Russia for domination of the world, both wanting their view count at the expense of the other. Between the two should be taken into account and the position of China, Japan, Germany, France, Britain and Arab countries, not least because the resources concerned.

P.S. If you have pros and cons opinions, please feel free to share, thanks.

Guidance for those who read this blog

In "1" Thank you all, as I tune in during your precious attention to this blog and want recommendations or reviews which I will make will be helpful in choosing a solution with a satisfactory yield, given that this solution as you thought, but you are missing one or more arguments to decide on it.                                                                                                                                         In the "2" row, I want to remind you, as a man (active player on securities markets) may go wrong and therefore recommend that the final decision filtered it with your own "hard" and to take responsibility for the chosen solution If you will put into practice. 

In the "3" all but the last, I encourage you to come and other proposals and analyzes made by you, and we willingness to discuss on this blog to the extent that time permits me.                                        P.S. Since the beginning of the year, what I want me and I wish you, in 3 words: HEALTH, INSPIRATION & FLAIR !